Quality of Canadian Soybean, oilseed-type 2018
2. Weather and production review
Weather review
Soybeans are typically seeded early May in eastern Canada and from the last of week of May to the first week of June in western Canada. This year, April temperatures were much colder than normal, delaying all fields activities, including seeding (Figure 2a) in western as well as eastern Canada. May was hot and dry allowing seeding to progress rapidly in all the provinces (Figure 2a). In 2018, all soybean areas were seeded by the first week of June.
Figure 2a. National weather maps - Precipitation departure from average in the past 30 days as of May 31st, July 30th, August 30th and September 30th, 2018
Precipitation departure from average in the past 30 days as of May 31, 2018
Precipitation departure from average in the past 30 days as of July 31, 2018
Precipitation departure from average in the past 30 days as of August 31, 2018
Precipitation departure from average in the past 30 days as of September 30, 2018
To develop, soybean seed need heat and rain. However, the moisture timing is important to ensure soybean pod filling. It is critical for soybean to receive moisture during the second part of July and the first part of August as pods are filling. Growing conditions were vastly different in temperature and precipitation (timing and amount) in the east and in the west (Figures 2a and 2b).
Figure 2b. National weather maps – Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for April, May, July, August, September and October 2018
Map:Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for April 2018
Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for May 2018
Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for July 31
Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for August 2018
Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for September 2018
Monthly mean temperature difference from normal for October 2018
In the east, Ontario and Québec, May June and early July were dry. However, there were some timely precipitations during the second part of July and in August that helped the crop to grow and the pods to fill (Figure 2b), this resulted in surprising record harvests in Ontario and Québec. In 2018, Ontario had a record yield at 3,454 kg/hectare and Québec had the second highest yield at 3,151 kg/hectare In western Canada, precipitation was sparse in July and August and then abundant in September (Figure 2b). This led to a low yield crop that was wet and difficult to harvest. In the prairies, the delayed soybean harvest was completed by the end of October in Manitoba (98% completed) and the first week of November in Saskatchewan (99% completed). The yields were lower than last year, about 2,089 kg/hectare in Manitoba and 1,416 kg/hectare in Saskatchewan.
Source:
Production and grade information
Figure 3. Historic soybean production data in Canada, 2000 to 2018
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Details
Historic soybean production data in Canada, 2000 to 2018 Year Canada Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta 2000 2,703,000 4,700 - - 385,000 2,313,300 - - - 2001 1,635,200 4,400 - - 315,000 1,279,100 36,700 - - 2002 2,335,700 6,700 - - 315,000 1,905,100 108,900 - - 2003 2,273,300 5,400 - - 390,000 1,728,200 149,700 - - 2004 3,043,900 6,500 - - 520,000 2,476,600 40,800 - - 2005 3,155,600 9,300 - - 505,000 2,585,500 55,800 - - 2006 3,465,500 11,100 - - 535,000 2,667,100 252,300 - - 2007 2,686,200 11,100 - - 472,000 2,000,300 202,800 - - 2008 3,335,900 17,100 - - 600,000 2,476,000 242,200 - - 2009 3,581,600 36,200 - - 530,000 2,694,300 321,100 - - 2010 4,444,600 40,700 6,600 9,100 823,000 3,129,800 435,400 - - 2011 4,466,500 45,400 9,300 8,400 800,000 3,189,700 413,700 - - 2012 5,086,400 51,400 10,600 9,300 843,000 3,401,900 770,200 - - 2013 5,358,900 61,500 12,000 13,200 847,000 3,238,600 1,068,200 118,400 - 2014 6,048,600 60,100 14,800 13,600 898,000 3,791,100 1,107,700 163,300 - 2015 6,459,100 47,200 12,800 12,200 1,088,100 3,728,500 1,390,700 179,600 - 2016 6,552,100 49,000 12,800 14,700 1,129,400 3,374,700 1,769,000 202,500 - 2017 7,716,600 49,000 15,500 16,200 1,115,000 3,796,600 2,245,300 479,000 - 2018 7,266,500 43,200 18,500 14,900 4,200,500 1,164,000 1,581,600 231,800 11,600
Seeded area and production data for 2018 and 2017 are in Table 2. In 2018, all seeded soybean areas decreased in Canada when compared to 2017. In the west, there was a 26% and 52% decrease in Manitoba and Saskatchewan, respectively compared to 2017. The seeded areas decrease in the east was not as drastic, about 7% in Québec and 2% in Ontario (Table 2).
Up until this year Canada's soybean production has been increasing steadily since 2007 (Figure 3) as production has been increasing in Ontario and expanded to Manitoba first and then Saskatchewan and Alberta. New varieties adapted to western Canada's growing conditions have been developed with less heat units required.
Even if total seeded areas was lower in 2018 than in 2017, production in Central Canada was higher in 2018 than in 2017 as there was a substantial yield increase in Ontario in 2018 when compared to 2017 - a 10% increase when compared to last year. In 2018, about 57.8% of the Canadian soybean were produced in Ontario (49.2% in 2017), 21.8% on Manitoba and 16% in Québec. Less than favourable growing conditions pushed the 2018 soybean yields to another record low in Saskatchewan (1,416 kg/ha) and below average yields in Manitoba (2,089 kg/ha).
Province | Seeded area | Production | 5-year average production | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 2017 | 2018 | 2017 | 2013 to 2017 | |
hectares | tonnes | tonnes | |||
Manitoba | 764,900 | 926,700 | 1,581,600 | 2,245,300 | 1,516,180 |
Saskatchewan | 164,900 | 344,000 | 231,800 | 479,000 | 228,560 |
Alberta | 7,400 | n/aFootnote 2 | 11,600 | - | - |
Western Canada | 937,400 | 1,270,700 | 1,825,500 | 2,724,300 | 1,744,740 |
Ontario | 371,300 | 398,000 | 1,164,000 | 1,115,000 | 1,1015,500 |
Quebec | 1,222,200 | 1,244,400 | 4,200,500 | 3,796,600 | 3,596,800 |
Central CanadaFootnote 3 | 1,592,500 | 1,642,400 | 5,364,500 | 4,911,600 | 4,689,280 |
Prince Edward Island | 16,600 | 20,200 | 43,200 | 49,000 | 50,440 |
New Brunswick | 5,700 | 5,100 | 14,900 | 15,500 | 12,960 |
Nova Scotia | 5,600 | 8,500 | 18,500 | 16,200 | 13,580 |
Maritimes | 27,900 | 33,800 | 79,600 | 80,700 | 76,980 |
Total Canada | 2,557,700 | 2,946,900 | 7,266,500 | 7,716,600 | 6,434,020 |